Online bookmakers – sites like William Hill – offer odds on a lot of events other than sports. The most common other bet involves politics and, in particular, elections. Among the many political odds offered are the odds of a certain person winning the United States presidential election in 2012.
The incumbent is always going to have the best chance of winning if he’s eligible for re-election and for that reason, President Obama has 2-3 odds of winning. According to the bookmakers, though, Al Gore has taken a nose dive since news of an alleged affair surfaced.
Shortly after his split with Tipper Gore after 40 years of marriage, a story was released alleging that he had a lengthy affair with Laurie David, the ex-wife of comedian Larry David (Yes, Larry David’s wife was named Lauria David; I am gagging a little). Affairs are never good for campaigns, so the news has reduced the former Vice President’s odds of winning in 2012. He was already a longshot with 60-1 odds, but following the affair allegations, his odds are almost 70-1.
So having an affair is the nail in the coffin that will prevent Al Gore from becoming the next president? I would have thought he’d be prevented that honor on the basis that he’s one of the biggest con artists in history, has profited off stirring up “global warming” propaganda, thinks that light bulbs are more of a threat to America than terrorists, claims he created the internet, engaged in illegal fundraising activities, rented out slum apartments and trailers, and is generally considered dishonest – even by the standards of a politician!
Or if you need a better reason for disqualification, how about this? Gore lost to George W. Bush in 2000! If you’re not capable of beating him (though that was before Bush’s popularity really tanked), then you can’t win in 2012.
So if Gore won’t win, who are the frontrunners? Aside from Obama, Mitt Romney and (God no) Sarah Palin have the best odds at 10-1. Mike Huckabee has 12-1 odds and Tim Pawlenty has 14-1 odds. Romney probably has the best chance of that group, though I think Pawlenty, though not a household name, could become a factor. With respect to the bookmakers, nobody is going to vote for Huckabee. He’s a nice enough guy, but no one feels he has what it takes to be president. Plus, his wife just admitted to murdering someone (editor’s note: That was actually Melissa Huckaby, who is not related). As for Sarah Palin, she needs to stick to posting controversial comments on her Facebook page. That’s what she’s best at.
After those Republicans, the next Democrats are Hillary Clinton and Joe Biden, at 15-1 odds. Strangely enough, polls show that Hillary now has a higher approval rating than Obama, so maybe she should be the frontrunner. As for Biden, isn’t he Obama’s insurance policy against assassination? I assumed Obama picked him as the VP because he knew people would say “the last thing we want is that idiot Biden running the country!” Then again, during Clinton’s impeachment hearings, that’s what people said about Gore.
Republicans Bobby Jindal (20-1), Condoleeza Rice (20-1) and Bill Frist (25-1) also deserve mention. What’s interesting is that there are so many Democrats with decent odds. The incumbent is almost always chosen as his party’s nominee the following term. Maybe the bookmakers are taking into account the likelihood of Obama being impeached. Considering his troubling ties to ACORN, SEIU, the Chicago Climate Exchange, STORM, the Apollo Alliance, the Weather Underground, the Joyce Foundation, the Tides Foundation, and other radical groups, impeachment is a definite possibility.
The most perplexing candidate listed in the betting odds, though, is Rob Portman, with 80-1 odds. I don’t think there are 80-1 odds of finding a person that knows who Portman is. I wonder if I can find that action in a sports book.