UK punters betting on George Osborne’s future
Thursday, October 21st, 2010It never ceases to amaze me the things people will bet on. It reminds me of movies set on golf courses (major betting hubs) like Tin Cup or Caddy Shack, where the players bet whether or not they can drive the ball a certain distance, whether they can outdrive someone else, whether a put is made and more. I remember a scene where the golf course employees were taking bets on which bugs would get electrocuted by the bug zapper. People will bet on anything. That includes politics, where it is commonplace to bet on whether a politician will win an election, whether a certain bill will pass, whether a certain party will gain control of a chamber and more.
Right now, George Osborne is a major subject of betting at online bookmakers. Osborne, a British Conservative politician, currently serves as Chancellor of the Exchequer of the United Kingdom. That is a cabinet position in charge of all financial and economic matters in the UK. Right now, punters are betting on whether or not he will keep his job.
Yesterday, Osborne released the Comprehensive Spending Review, which sets firm three-year spending limits for all public sectors. In his Spending Review, Osborne made significant cuts to the expenditures of the United Kingdom, as expected. The economic path laid out by the Spending Review will have a large impact on the UK’s recovery from the Great Recession. Therefore, it will also have a large impact on whether or not Osborne keeps his job.
Currently, the bookmakers give him 1/3 odds to remain in his position until the next general election. There are 9/4 odds that he will leave early. Bettors are less optimistic that the coalition government will remain intact. William Hill has placed 1/2 odds on them breaking up before January 2015. The coalition government as formed between David Cameron’s Conservative Party and Nick Clegg’s Liberal Democrats after the general election failed to give any of the three major parties an overall majority.
If the coalition government does split up, you can bet the bookmakers will have odds on what the new government will look like. Trust me; there are odds for everything.
